Are the big banks spared from the banking crisis? (04 May 2023)
The smaller banks carry a bigger Commercial real estate (CRE) burden. Is the risk with only the smaller banks or is this a bigger concern across the banking & financial industry? This is a recent extract from Factset. A tale of two bank industries. Banks hold the majority of CRE mortgages by volume, with 61% of total CRE debt residing on their balance sheets (excluding multifamily). Within the industry, however, there is a dichotomy between large and small banks. As shown in Figure 15, CRE accounts for 24% of total industry loans outstanding, but CRE represents just 13% of total loans at large banks, while accounting for 44% at small banks. Figure 16 shows this at the individual bank level; the list of banks with the highest CRE/Total Loans ratios is dominated by small- and mid-sized banks. As per the above, the smaller banks have a much higher exposure to CRE compared to the large banks like JP Morgan, Citibank, Bank of America & Wells Fargo (which I refer to...